Ruin Probability on FX Backtest Diaryhttps://etherpoc.com/en/tags/ruin-probability/Recent content in Ruin Probability on FX Backtest DiaryHugoenTue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 +0000I tested three roads to bigger returns. The winner was a 70,000-yen reservehttps://etherpoc.com/en/posts/scaling-three-roads/Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://etherpoc.com/en/posts/scaling-three-roads/<p>One conclusion in this project is immovable: <strong>the edge will not grow</strong>. The information inside price has been searched to exhaustion, and leverage saturates near 2.1% monthly. If the earnings are to grow anyway, the only lever left is capital.</p> <p>Three candidate roads: tilt harder into gold, which keeps winning; switch to the prop firm&rsquo;s newly announced easier plan; or multiply the accounts themselves. Four studies (research notes 221, 224, 231, 243) measured all three against the harshest yardstick available, ruin probability. One road survived, and its fate came down to how you spend 70,000 yen.</p>